Abstract
The study assessed economic variables on the performance of bond market in Nigeria. The study used time series data spanning a period from 2000 to 2012 and the domestic variables employed were Money supply, Exchange rate, Nigeria treasury bills rate, inflation rate, and US Stock price as a proxy for international influence on bond market in Nigeria. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller and Philip-Perron tests were used to determine the stochastic properties of the series. Within the theoretical framework of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory, a stationary VAR model was estimated and used to analyze the short run impact of selected macroeconomic variables using data for the period. The results show that there was marginal influence of the domestic variables. The effect of changes in the exchange rate contributes a high of 5.6 percent change in bond prices which is larger than that of all the other domestic variables. This implies that the Nigerian bond market is prone to the well-known contagion effect of global financial market. The study recommends that monetary authorities should be careful with the current efforts at internationalization of the Nigerian bond Market.
CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUCTION
1.1 BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY
The bond market constitutes a financial market for the issuance of where new debt known as the primary market and the purchase and sale of debt securities referred to as the secondary market. The debt traded is in the form of bonds but it may include notes, bills, and so on. It is essentially meant to provide for long-term funding for public and private expenditures.
The bond markets constitute a part of the credit market, with bank loans constituting the other main component. The global credit market is three times larger in aggregate than the size of the global equity market. Bonds are securities under the Securities and Exchange Act, and highly regulated. Bonds are not usually secured by collateral but they can be secured and are sold in relatively small denominations of around $1,000 to $10,000. Bonds can be held by retail investors.
Some corporate bonds are listed on exchanges but an essential part of the bond market is the government bond market. The bond market can be classified into corporate Government and agency, municipal, mortgage backed, asset-backed, and collateralized debt obligations and Funding bonds market.
1.2 STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM
The performance of the bond market is influenced by a number of factors. The bond price is determined by micro factors in the short and long run which include the financial and liquidity position of firm, profit or loss and declared etc. Bonds returns are also influenced by some macroeconomic factors such as stock market regulation, inflation, gross domestic product, exchange rate, tax impose by national government, foreign direct investment, industrial production, interest rate, savings, foreign exchange reserves, money supply, imports &exports and oil prices fluctuation The significant role of capital market is to act as regulator . The bond market constitute a financial market for the issuance of where new debt known as the primary market and the purchase and sale of debt securities referred to as the secondary market. The debt traded is in the form of bonds but it may include notes, bills, and so on. It is essentially meant to provide for long-term funding for public and private expenditures.
The bond markets constitute a part of the credit market, with bank loans constituting the other main component. The global credit market is three times larger in aggregate than the size of the global equity market. Bonds are securities under the Securities and Exchange Act, and highly regulated. Bonds are not usually secured by collateral but they can be secured and are sold in relatively small denominations of around $1,000 to $10,000. Bonds can be held by retail investors.
The problem confronting the research therefore is to proffer an Assessment of economic-variables on the performance of bond market in Nigeria.
1.3 OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY
To proffer an assessment of economic variables and Bond market
To proffer an Assessment of economic-variables on the performance of bond market in Nigeria
The bond market constitutes a financial market for the issuance of where new debt known as the primary market and the purchase and sale of debt securities referred to as the secondary market. The debt traded is in the form of bonds but it may include notes, bills, and so on. It is essentially meant to provide for long-term funding for public and private expenditures.
The bond markets constitute a part of the credit market, with bank loans constituting the other main component. The global credit market is three times larger in aggregate than the size of the global equity market. Bonds are securities under the Securities and Exchange Act, and highly regulated. Bonds are not usually secured by collateral
1.4 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY
The study shall proffer a detail appraisal of the economic variable which impedes on the performance of bond market in Nigeria
It shall also serve as a source of information to investors and managers
1.5 RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS
Ho The impact of economic variables on the performance of bond market in Nigeria is low
Hi The impact of economic variables on the performance of bond market in Nigeria is high
1.6 SCOPE OF THE STUDY
The study focuses on the assessment of economic variables on the performance of bond market in Nigeria.
1.7 LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY
The study was confronted with some constraint which include geographical factors and logistics
1.8 DEFINITION OF TERMS
BOND DEFINED
The bond market constitute a financial market for the issuance of where new debt known as the primary market and the purchase and sale of debt securities referred to as the secondary market. The debt traded is in the form of bonds but it may include notes, bills, and so on. It is essentially meant to provide for long-term funding for public and private expenditures.
Foreign exchange rate:
foreign exchange rate is the rate at which one currency will be exchanged for another.
Foreign direct investment:
Foreign direct investment is a passive investment in the securities of a different country such as public stocks and bonds.
Inflation: Inflation, an increase in the general level of prices of goods and services.
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